Система ИКАО CORSIA: новый углеродный рынок для России

Рогинко Сергей Анатольевич   

Статья опубликована в журнале «Проблемы прогнозирования» (ISSN: 0868-6351 (Print), ISSN: 3034-0071 (Online)), №6 2025

RUEN
СИСТЕМА ИКАО CORSIA: НОВЫЙ УГЛЕРОДНЫЙ РЫНОК ДЛЯ РОССИИ

РОГИНКО Сергей Анатольевич, к.э.н., roginko@bk.ru, Институт Европы, Российская академия наук; Финансовый университет при Правительстве РФ, Москва, Россия
ORCID: 0000-0003-2094-9259; Scopus Author ID: 56335674200

Аннотация. В статье анализируется ситуация, сложившаяся в мировой авиационной отрасли в связи с принятием обязательств ИКАО по достижению «чистого нуля» выбросов к 2050 г. и введением требований компенсации углеродного следа международных полетов в рамках системы ИКАО CORSIA. Делается сопоставление экономической эффективности различных треков декарбонизации авиационной отрасли, приводятся оценки экономически целесообразной траектории достижения «чистого нуля». Особое внимание уделяется перспективам участия России в системе CORSIA с точки зрения возможностей сокращения затрат на компенсацию углеродного следа для российских авиакомпаний и выхода отечественных климатических проектов на международный углеродный рынок.

Ключевые слова: компенсация углеродного следа, система ИКАО CORSIA, декарбонизация авиационной отрасли, достижение «чистого нуля» выбросов, Технический консультативный совет ИКАО (ТАВ), климатическая повестка, углеродные единицы.

DOI: 10.47711/0868-6351-213-191-204

Статья поступила в редакцию 28.04.2025. Статья принята к публикации 04.06.2025.

Для цитирования: С.А. Рогинко. Система ИКАО CORSIA: новый углеродный рынок для России // Проблемы прогнозирования. 2025. № 6 (213). С. 191-204.

DOI: 10.47711/0868-6351-213-191-204

THE ICAO CORSIA SYSTEM: A NEW CARBON MARKET FOR RUSSIA

S.A. ROGINKO, Cand. Sci. (Econ), Institute of Europe of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
ORCID: 0000-0003-2094-9259; Scopus Author ID: 56335674200

Abstract. The article analyzes the situation that has developed in the global aviation industry in connection with the adoption of ICAO commitments to achieve net zero emissions by 2050 and the introduction of carbon offsetting requirements for international flights under ICAO CORSIA systems. A comparison is made of the economic efficiency of different tracks for decarbonization of the aviation industry, estimates are provided of the economically feasible trajectory to achieve “net zero.” Particular attention is paid to the prospects of Russia’s participation in the CORSIA system in terms of opportunities to reduce costs for carbon offsetting for Russian airlines and the entry of domestic climate projects into the international carbon market.

Keywords: carbon offsetting, ICAO CORSIA system, decarbonization of the aviation industry, achieving net zero emissions, ICAO Technical Advisory Board (TAB), climate agenda, carbon units.

DOI: 10.1134/S1075700725700637

Received 28.04.2025. Accepted 04.06.2025.

For citation: S.A. Roginko. The ICAO CORSIA System: A New Carbon Market for Russia // Studies on Russian Economic Development. 2025. Vol. 36. No. 6. Pp. 903-911. DOI: 10.1134/S1075700725700637

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